Many Fin fans and most sportswriters are totally writing off Miami for the upcoming season with many predicting us to have possibly the worst team in the league.
My questions is why? Last season this team was 7-9 and without some key injuries they could have easily slipped into the playoffs again. And comparing last year's team and the upcoming team I can't see where we are so much weaker than last season. In fact, I think they're stronger. Of course there's always a ton of ifs and many questions that have to be answered but here's how I compare last year's team with this year's.
COACHING: I think most would agree that we're in much better hands this season without Gase and Burke running the show. I'm much more confident in the new staff. ADVANTAGE: '19 Team
WRs: Everyone is back minus DA and we added Williams who may end up being the best of all of them: ADVANTAGE: '19
QB: So many questions but no matter if Fitz or Rosen starts I can't imagine a big drop-off from last season if any. Potentially much better. PUSH
OL: Last year they sucked and they probably will this season too. Who knows? PUSH
TE: Gesicki and Smythe have a year's experience and Allen has been added for leadership. ADVANTAGE: '19
RB: Gore was solid but with Drake and an emerging Ballage getting the carries I definitely think there's more big play potential this season. ADVANTAGE: '19
DL: Sorry, I don't think the losses there a big deal. I miss Wake but he was a big liability against the run and past his prime. The young DTs should really come into their own this season and the addition of Wilkins will only boost them. And if the lights come on for Harris they could really surprise. I'm leaning towards '19 but will say: PUSH
LBs: Baker and McMillan will have a year's experience behind them and the addition of Eguavoen could be huge as well. ADVANTAGE: '19
DBs: Basically intact. X may be the best cover corner in the league and Fitz should make a jump in his second year. Rowe may be an improvement over last year's #2 corner. ADVANTAGE: '19
Sorry, but I don't see the big drop-off in talent from last year's team. In fact, I think we're better in pretty much every area. Where do you agree or disagree with my assessments?
I will bet you any amount of money you want that we go 6 wins or less.
Where do I disagree? Well, I'm not going to talk about hypothetical, so here we go:
Coaching: Gase had lots of strengths and lots of weaknesses. I think he would be a great OC, and not so much as an head coach. With that said, Flores has been a head coach for zero games. I'll be nice and call this a PUSH.
WR: Everyone is back, but two of those guys coming back are coming back from major injuries. WR position was supposed to be a strength last season and again this season. We don't know anything about Williams yet. Again, being nice about it, I will call it a PUSH.
QB: Definitely a drop off from Tannehill - and I was happy to see them move on. Disadvantage
OL: Last year they sucked and this year they look worse. You lost your starting RT who was solid (if mediocre) and replacing him with a huge question mark. This OL is going to be worse. Disadvantage
TE: Talk about an unexciting group. They were worthless last season and may be marginally less worthless this year. Nothing coming out says otherwise, and Allen has been injured/non factor. We can call this a PUSH.
RB: You went from a steady Gore and "on the up" Drake to an injured Drake who has seemingly lost some reps (and maybe confidence). You essentially went backwards with Drake, and now replaced Gore with Ballage, which we also don't know what he is. This is a disadvantage
DL: I would say our DT play should improve, and the scheming from the DL should be improved (which you didn't mention) but the DE position is absolutely worse. I'll be nice and call this a PUSH.
LB: I'll say the LB position is improved with Baker's emergence - who I thought was severely undervalued for his play last season. Not sure about the other new guy yet, but I'll say we're overall at ADVANTAGE.
DB: Last year's CB unit was not great... we had McCain and Minkah playing out of position... two SS's and just and overall disaster in scheming. I think the big difference is we will be scheming better, which you again don't take into account. I'll be nice and call this ADVANTAGE.
So we're worse in a lot of places, we're just as bad as last season in several places (a push at the TE position is HORRRRRRIBLE etc) and better in a couple spots where we still have holes.
This team is going to suck. Take your damn rose colored frames off. Also remember, there is 31 other teams out there TRYING TO IMPROVE AS WELL. And a lot of them doing a better job at it. This isn't pessimism, this is just reality. I like the idea of where I think we're going to go with this team, I like the idea of a tear down, I like the idea of finally restarting and straightening out the front office and coaching staff... I'm still a Dolphins fan... but posts like yours are hilariously off.
I'll repeat, I'll take any dollar amount bet we're a 6 win team or worse. And if we're better, then that's good news.