Originally posted by mannyfresh
Let me begin with a basic assumption, that u may or may not agree with. statisics tells us past numbers for teams, it is mainly used as a guide for predictibilty of future games.
we use these predictions to assert our probabilities of future outcomes. (thats where we get odds from).
To quote you i will use statistics , fact and logic.
It is a fact, the miami dolphins have lost their starting QB and one of their WR's. Buffalo has lost a starting tackle and starting CB(winfield). I would conclude that we have the upperhand here, because i believe the Qb is the most important player on the football field. Yours is out ours still in, therefore we win in the health category and id say offense. Buffalo plus 1
You do have a better running game, but no so much better as to conclude that it will drastically affect the outcome of the game.(though it may). id say even for both teams
your defense is better..lol......next!!!! miami 1
However, i think your method of analysis is wrong. Instead of analyazing a team that resembles the bills, you decided to analyze every team we have played and every team you have played. i think that is folly
personally, i would have analyzed a team that resembles the bills, like the kansas city chiefs. i think this gives a more accurate account of your predicted outcome for many reasons....... one being the fact that u played them already, they have an offense like ours and they have a defense like ours.
The final score of that game was 48-30 i think.
Lets see what happened----
They amassed 450 total yards
average gain 6.7 yards
you got intercepted 4 times ( i imagine because you were forced to compete through the air, proving your comeback capability useless, the more u guys throw, the more prone to turnovers u guys are)
you did not get one sack on KC
williams was held for 14carries 66yards
My point here is you are facing a team similar to kansas city, you dont have your starting Qb, who threw 4 ints that game, i cant imagine lucas not throwing one on sunday, You are more prone to mistakes when u are down, your team is going up against a better Qb in bledsoe and WR's.
so if we win, were better, no matter what ur record is after the game. And by the way Houston has a great defense, this is compounded by the fact that their offense often makes the defense play much of the game.
