There's the happy 40% adjustment again. Frankly, I wish you guys made the daily betting lines. There has never been a player go first in the draft who carried the rating that Tannehill had at this point last year. Not even close. I've followed the draft for 40+ years. If he were even proposed to go first his game would have been dissected until the thought were laughable. You've got to apply situational influence in real time. He was a second tier whispered pick who drew some praise and eased up the boards. Not a high priority. That's an entirely different ball game than scrutiny toward first overall. Aaron Rodgers accomplished far more at Cal than Tannehill did at Texas A&M yet Rodgers was picked apart and plummeted.
Besides, it's quite convenient to elevate Tannehill alone. If we know what we know now, why wouldn't Russell Wilson go first overall? If Tannehill somehow sat out a year and were available for this draft, there would be spotlight on what Manziel accomplished at A&M, far beyond Tannehill's resume, and that comparison would work poorly toward Tannehill's prospects. If we're leaving Tannehill at A&M in 2012, Manziel likely plays ahead of him, so Tannehill would go lower than he did, not higher. Kevin Sumlin runs an offense designed around Johnny Manziel types, not Ryan Tannehill.
Let's see, I'll propose that the winner of the Kentucky Derby will run the race in 2 minutes 9 seconds. It might sound wonderful. Let me know when it happens.
