You should read more carefully. I said that "Out of NE’s 10 wins only three of them (which includes the Phins) came from opponents whose record was better than .500". The Pats did beat the Vickless Falcons, but the Falcons finished 8-8 which is not above .500. I did not count the Jags because I was talking about the regular season. I did forget about the 2004 Championship game in Pitt, so you got me there. For some reason I thought that game was played in NE. :confused: It is easy for a team to look solid when they are playing soft competition. I don’t think Denver is going to blow that Pats out or anything, I just think that they will win. As for the road to the Super Bowl, I will take the risk of looking stupid and count the Pats out. There is a very small chance that they could beat the Broncos, but even if they do, the Pats are not going to beat the Colts.