Attempt at 53 man roster and PS

[TheRevoltingBlob]

So 15 players (on average) on every team are UDFAs from that year? That is not remotely true. There may be 30% total in the NFL, but that is cumulative, and is not representative of an individual UDFA's chances of making a final roster. That number is less than 2%.

For example (from 2020) only 33 UDFAs from the previous draft year made opening day rosters (around 2%).

Only 16 teams out of the 32 in the NFL kept a player on their 53 man roster who went undrafted in 2020. What you said may be true, but wasn't really the context of the discussion. The odds of an UDFA sticking are pretty freaking low.

33 Undrafted Free Agents made the initial 53 man rosters

Reggie Gilliam made the Buffalo Bills 53 man roster after getting signed as an undrafted free agent. I love this signing!

www.nfldraftdiamonds.com

33 per year is pretty good. Roughly one per team. So basically sounds like u have a better chance of someone from your UDFA class making your roster than a 6th or 7th round pick. You just don’t know which guy it will be.

In the past 3 years we’ve added Needham, Preston, and Robert Jones as UDFA’s.

Compare that to our 6th/7th rounders of the past 3 years… Isaiah Prince, Chandler Cox, Gaskin, Malcolm Perry, Blake Ferguson, Gerrid Doaks, Larnel Coleman

Three UDFA’s have contributed to our team in some way over that time. While the only 6th/7th rounders to do anything are Gaskin and a long snapper.

 

[Danny]

Offense- 11 personnel with Gesicki in the slot. Last spot is basically between Bowden, Williams, Gaskin and Ahmed. I'm assuming Ahmed would actually make it to the PS. Fejedelem is no more.

QB1 1 Tua Tagovailoa
QB2 2 Teddy Bridgewater
PSQB 1 Skyler Thompson

RB1 3 Sony Michel
RB2 4 Raheem Mostert
RB3 5 Chase Edmonds
PSRB1 2 Salvon Ahmed (We actually poached him from the 9ers)
PSRB2 3 Gerrid Doaks

FB1 6 Alec Ingold
PSFB 4 John Lovett

WR1 7 Tyreek Hill
WR2 8 Jaylen Waddle
WR3 9 Mike Gesicki
WR4 10 Cedrick Wilson
WR5 11 Erik Ezukanma
WR6 12 Preston Williams
PSWR1 5 Trent Sherfield
PSWR2 6 Braylon Sanders

TE1 13 Durham Smythe
TE2 14 Adam Shaheen
TE3 15 Hunter Long
TE/FB 16 Cethan Carter
PSTE/WR/FB 7 Tanner Conner

LT1 17 Terron Armstead
LG1 18 Connor Williams
OC1 19 Michael Dieter
RG1 20 Robert Hunt
RT1 21 Austin Jackson
OT3 22 Liam Eichenberg
OG3 23 Solomon Kindley
OC2 24 Cole Banwart
OG/OT4 25 Greg Little
PSOL1 8 Ronald Jones
PSOL2 9 Kellen Diesch


Defense- 4-2-5 Nickel as base

RE 26 Jaelan Phillips
RDT 27 Raekwon Davis
LDT 28 Christian Wilkins
LE 29 Emmanuel Ogbah
DE3 30 Andrew Van Ginkel
DT3 31 Zach Sieler
DT4 32 Adam Butler
DT5 33 John Jenkins
DE4 34 Melvin Ingram
PSDL1 10 Daeshon Hall
PSDL2 11 Cameron Goode
PSDL3 NA Benito Jones

LB1 35 Jerome Baker
LB2 36 Elandon Roberts
LB3 37 Channing Tindall
LB4 38 Brennan Scarlett
LB5 39 Duke Riley
PSLB 12 Calvin Munson

CB1 40 Xavien Howard
CB2 41 Byron Jones
CB3 42 Nick Needham
CB4 43 Noah Igbinoghene
CB5 44 Keion Crossen
CB6 45 Quincy Wilson
PSCB1 13 D'Angelo Ross
PSCB2 14 Elijah Campbell

FS1 46 Jevon Holland
SS1 47 Eric Rowe
FS2 48 Sheldrick Redwine
SS2 49 Brandon Jones
PSS 15 Verone McKinley

K 50 Jason Sanders
P 51 Thomas Morstead
LS 52 Blake Ferguson
KR/PR/WCQB/WR/RB 53 Lynn Bowden Jr
PSP 16 Tommy Heatherly

Carter should have been cut long ago. Kindley won't make it imo. Eich will start at RT. The rest of the offense is pretty close to the way I see it and I'm 99.9% sure that at least one or two layers will make the final 53 that are NOT on the team right now.

 

[rvz1020]

Offense- 11 personnel with Gesicki in the slot. Last spot is basically between Bowden, Williams, Gaskin and Ahmed. I'm assuming Ahmed would actually make it to the PS. Fejedelem is no more.

QB1 1 Tua Tagovailoa
QB2 2 Teddy Bridgewater
PSQB 1 Skyler Thompson

RB1 3 Sony Michel
RB2 4 Raheem Mostert
RB3 5 Chase Edmonds
PSRB1 2 Salvon Ahmed (We actually poached him from the 9ers)
PSRB2 3 Gerrid Doaks

FB1 6 Alec Ingold
PSFB 4 John Lovett

WR1 7 Tyreek Hill
WR2 8 Jaylen Waddle
WR3 9 Mike Gesicki
WR4 10 Cedrick Wilson
WR5 11 Erik Ezukanma
WR6 12 Preston Williams
PSWR1 5 Trent Sherfield
PSWR2 6 Braylon Sanders

TE1 13 Durham Smythe
TE2 14 Adam Shaheen
TE3 15 Hunter Long
TE/FB 16 Cethan Carter
PSTE/WR/FB 7 Tanner Conner

LT1 17 Terron Armstead
LG1 18 Connor Williams
OC1 19 Michael Dieter
RG1 20 Robert Hunt
RT1 21 Austin Jackson
OT3 22 Liam Eichenberg
OG3 23 Solomon Kindley
OC2 24 Cole Banwart
OG/OT4 25 Greg Little
PSOL1 8 Ronald Jones
PSOL2 9 Kellen Diesch


Defense- 4-2-5 Nickel as base

RE 26 Jaelan Phillips
RDT 27 Raekwon Davis
LDT 28 Christian Wilkins
LE 29 Emmanuel Ogbah
DE3 30 Andrew Van Ginkel
DT3 31 Zach Sieler
DT4 32 Adam Butler
DT5 33 John Jenkins
DE4 34 Melvin Ingram
PSDL1 10 Daeshon Hall
PSDL2 11 Cameron Goode
PSDL3 NA Benito Jones

LB1 35 Jerome Baker
LB2 36 Elandon Roberts
LB3 37 Channing Tindall
LB4 38 Brennan Scarlett
LB5 39 Duke Riley
PSLB 12 Calvin Munson

CB1 40 Xavien Howard
CB2 41 Byron Jones
CB3 42 Nick Needham
CB4 43 Noah Igbinoghene
CB5 44 Keion Crossen
CB6 45 Quincy Wilson
PSCB1 13 D'Angelo Ross
PSCB2 14 Elijah Campbell

FS1 46 Jevon Holland
SS1 47 Eric Rowe
FS2 48 Sheldrick Redwine
SS2 49 Brandon Jones
PSS 15 Verone McKinley

K 50 Jason Sanders
P 51 Thomas Morstead
LS 52 Blake Ferguson
KR/PR/WCQB/WR/RB 53 Lynn Bowden Jr
PSP 16 Tommy Heatherly

I think we cut Munson.

 

[Ryan1973]

Offense- 11 personnel with Gesicki in the slot. Last spot is basically between Bowden, Williams, Gaskin and Ahmed. I'm assuming Ahmed would actually make it to the PS. Fejedelem is no more.

QB1 1 Tua Tagovailoa
QB2 2 Teddy Bridgewater
PSQB 1 Skyler Thompson

RB1 3 Sony Michel
RB2 4 Raheem Mostert
RB3 5 Chase Edmonds
PSRB1 2 Salvon Ahmed (We actually poached him from the 9ers)
PSRB2 3 Gerrid Doaks

FB1 6 Alec Ingold
PSFB 4 John Lovett

WR1 7 Tyreek Hill
WR2 8 Jaylen Waddle
WR3 9 Mike Gesicki
WR4 10 Cedrick Wilson
WR5 11 Erik Ezukanma
WR6 12 Preston Williams
PSWR1 5 Trent Sherfield
PSWR2 6 Braylon Sanders

TE1 13 Durham Smythe
TE2 14 Adam Shaheen
TE3 15 Hunter Long
TE/FB 16 Cethan Carter
PSTE/WR/FB 7 Tanner Conner

LT1 17 Terron Armstead
LG1 18 Connor Williams
OC1 19 Michael Dieter
RG1 20 Robert Hunt
RT1 21 Austin Jackson
OT3 22 Liam Eichenberg
OG3 23 Solomon Kindley
OC2 24 Cole Banwart
OG/OT4 25 Greg Little
PSOL1 8 Ronald Jones
PSOL2 9 Kellen Diesch


Defense- 4-2-5 Nickel as base

RE 26 Jaelan Phillips
RDT 27 Raekwon Davis
LDT 28 Christian Wilkins
LE 29 Emmanuel Ogbah
DE3 30 Andrew Van Ginkel
DT3 31 Zach Sieler
DT4 32 Adam Butler
DT5 33 John Jenkins
DE4 34 Melvin Ingram
PSDL1 10 Daeshon Hall
PSDL2 11 Cameron Goode
PSDL3 NA Benito Jones

LB1 35 Jerome Baker
LB2 36 Elandon Roberts
LB3 37 Channing Tindall
LB4 38 Brennan Scarlett
LB5 39 Duke Riley
PSLB 12 Calvin Munson

CB1 40 Xavien Howard
CB2 41 Byron Jones
CB3 42 Nick Needham
CB4 43 Noah Igbinoghene
CB5 44 Keion Crossen
CB6 45 Quincy Wilson
PSCB1 13 D'Angelo Ross
PSCB2 14 Elijah Campbell

FS1 46 Jevon Holland
SS1 47 Eric Rowe
FS2 48 Sheldrick Redwine
SS2 49 Brandon Jones
PSS 15 Verone McKinley

K 50 Jason Sanders
P 51 Thomas Morstead
LS 52 Blake Ferguson
KR/PR/WCQB/WR/RB 53 Lynn Bowden Jr
PSP 16 Tommy Heatherly

I think Chase Edmonds will be the starter at RB and Liam Eichenberg the starter at RT. I also think Mike Gesicki will be lined up at TE and not at WR.

 

[rafael]

So 15 players (on average) on every team are UDFAs from that year? That is not remotely true. There may be 30% total in the NFL, but that is cumulative, and is not representative of an individual UDFA's chances of making a final roster. That number is less than 2%.

For example (from 2020) only 33 UDFAs from the previous draft year made opening day rosters (around 2%).

Only 16 teams out of the 32 in the NFL kept a player on their 53 man roster who went undrafted in 2020. What you said may be true, but wasn't really the context of the discussion. The odds of an UDFA sticking are pretty freaking low.

33 Undrafted Free Agents made the initial 53 man rosters

Reggie Gilliam made the Buffalo Bills 53 man roster after getting signed as an undrafted free agent. I love this signing!

www.nfldraftdiamonds.com

It's not "from that year". The link I provided uses total number of NFL players and finds that about 30% were undrafted. The odds for UDFAs and 6th-7th round picks making a roster are roughly equivalent.

What percentage of drafted players make an NFL roster?

Players drafted into the NFL are already facing tough odds to make the NFL roster. There's no guarantee that all of the drafted players will make the team's 53-man roster by the time Week-1 begins.

www.sportskeeda.com

"Players taken in the sixth and seventh-rounds have the toughest time to earn a roster spot. Their odds can fall as low as having a 30-35% chance of making a team. These guys are fighting every day, trying to catch the eye of their coaches. Their odds are often considered just as low as any undrafted rookie who is lucky enough to be invited to training camp. Just don't say that to Tom Brady, who was drafted by the Patriots in the sixth round of the 2000 NFL Draft."

 

[Mach2]

It's not "from that year". The link I provided uses total number of NFL players and finds that about 30% were undrafted. The odds for UDFAs and 6th-7th round picks making a roster are roughly equivalent.

What percentage of drafted players make an NFL roster?

Players drafted into the NFL are already facing tough odds to make the NFL roster. There's no guarantee that all of the drafted players will make the team's 53-man roster by the time Week-1 begins.

www.sportskeeda.com

"Players taken in the sixth and seventh-rounds have the toughest time to earn a roster spot. Their odds can fall as low as having a 30-35% chance of making a team. These guys are fighting every day, trying to catch the eye of their coaches. Their odds are often considered just as low as any undrafted rookie who is lucky enough to be invited to training camp. Just don't say that to Tom Brady, who was drafted by the Patriots in the sixth round of the 2000 NFL Draft."

Yes, I was just pointing out the distinction between how many NFL players total went undrafted, and the very low odds that any one individual UDFA has of making an NFL roster.

I don't have an issue with it, but many posters ramble on about this UDFA, or that UDFA, saying they are great and project them to be solid starters out of the gate, when reality and common sense says that it is not very likely.

 

[Travis34]

I’m high on McKinley taking a roster spot, Rowe potentially being traded/cut, and Brandon Jones being a good starter. I also like Trill Williams to make the team at CB.

The defense would take a step back losing Rowe.