nyjunc said:
I'll give you the last line but how could he not have proven he was fully recovered from his knee when he had the type of season he had in 2004?
Because he is nowhere near as explosive or fast as he was in college. Even you cannot dispute that. You seem to think 4 YPC is great. If so, this debate is pointless.....
nyjunc said:
He started only 11 games and had 1128 yds and 13 TDs. If you prorate those #s over 16 starts he has over 1,600 yds and 23 TDs. Buffalo was also 0-5 in games Willis did not start and 9-2 in games he did start and he only had 19 carries for 70 yds and ZERO TDs after 4 games and still finished w/ over 1100 yds and 13 TDs helping Buffalo turn around a season that started 0-4.
If you want to talk about prorating, take McGahee's 3.9 YPC and Brown's 4.4 YPC and multiply by however many carries you want. Tell me who comes out higher.......
nyjunc said:
based on 1 season from Ronnie and 1 season from Willis you deduce this?
Since that's all I have, yes. You seem to be able to deduce that McGahee is better based on the same amount of data. Why not me?
nyjunc said:
1. In 1 year Ronnie had 32 recs for 232 yds, in a 2 yr average Willis averages 25 recs a year fro 174 yds. Is thhis that big of difference considering Ronnie had Ricky around to carry the ball?
Is 32 higher than 25 or not? You seem to forget that Ronnie's numbers were REDUCED by fewer opportunities. Make Ronnie the fulltime starter and we'd be comparing 50 receptions to 25. Also, Ronnie is more natural coming out of the backfield. McGahee's receptions are almost all screen passes. He is not a good receiver.
nyjunc said:
2. I haven't studied the blocking of the 2 but I know feature backs aren't relied upon to be great blockers. Curtis Martin has been great at picking up blitzes for his career but no one talks about that.
Ronnie Brown was great at picking up the blitz, as a rookie who missed most of camp.
nyjunc said:
3. Again it's much easier to have an explosive run here or there when you are fresh and D's are used to facing a more powerful Ricky. The D's get worn down a bit and in comes a speed back. By the way though in '04 Willis had 10 20+ yd runs while ronnie only had 5 last year.
Willis's career long is 41 yards. His high last season was 25. Not explosive. Ronnie's long of 65 would have been more, but he was stopped by the endzone. Ricky was not more powerful than Ronnie last season.
nyjunc said:
4. He's not more powerful, Willis is a load and almost impossible to stop in short yardage situations which is why in a bad year last year(more to do w/ Buf's awful O than Willis) he only had 5 TDs which was 1 more than Ronnie but in '04 he had 13 which is an impressive #. In Ricky's only great season of 2002 he only had 3 more TDs but he started 5 more games and had 99 more carries. Imagin what Willis could have done in '04 w/ 99 more carries?
Tell that to the KC defender that Brown crushed on the way to the 65 yard TD.
You like to claim that fewer carries helped Brown's numbers but hurt McGahee's numbers. Does that make any sense? You have no way of knowing if McGahee would have broken down trying to carry the ball as much as Ricky did in 2002. Since all three players got enough carries to establish a reliable YPC, we can compare Ricky's 4.8 in 2002, McGahee's 3.8 last season, and Brown's 4.4 last season. You do the math.
BTW, Ronnie Brown had the same number of TDs as McGahee last season. You seem to think that receiving TDs don't count. I can understand wanting to ignore receiving numbers when comparing Brown and McGahee since they ruin your argument.