I think you are underrating how good the Bills are. They have a top 10 defense and their offense isn’t nearly as bad as many on this forum imply it is. I would take the Bills over the Texans if they were both in the same division.Texans as comprised would probably win AFC east
I also think the Patriots are going to be a lot better than many on here expect them to be. I think the Patriots and Bills will be the 2 best teams in the AFC East during the 2020 season and it won’t surprise me at all if both of them make the playoffs.
The Dolphins and Jets will struggle to win 5 or 6 games during the season, IMO.