Yep. That's it. I have no idea why so many of these posts make it more complicated than that. All this talk about a joint 3-way tie at 9-7 can't happen unless either Tennessee or Indianapolis lose this week.
Those teams play each other next week, so if both have 9 wins exiting week 16 then I like somebody's chance to finish above the Dolphins, no matter what we do.
The Patriots technically could lose both games, but as I posted yesterday the theoretical odds against that are in the 40/1 range, if you use the win percentage as defined by the money line. That's only going to drop decisively if Brady can't play, in one or both of the games.
Titans and Colts would be more likely than not to both win, but it is not overwhelming. Based on the spread and aligned money lines, the likelihood that both win is something like 54%.
Again, that is theoretical, based on a large sample of two teams favored by the this amount. Obviously in any given situation both favorites could lose by 30 points.
