I would disagree with that. There are other things I can think of if we're going beyond DE/OT/CB.
The Dolphins won 7 games last year with a WRs unit that consisted of Hartline, Bess and....and....nobody. So even if Wallace gets hurt (knock on wood) you've got Hartline, Bess and Gibson. I have my issues with Gibson as he's a development clog, but he's still better than what the Dolphins had behind Hartline and Bess a year ago. With a year of development Rishard Matthews might even be better than Gibson. My nits with the Dolphins' WR unit have to do with the structuring and resource allocation. They've got plenty of talent there to get by, now.
But the Dolphins have CURRENTLY improved the offense at the direct expense of a worsened defense. We haven't seen everything they're going to do yet. But going from a CB unit that had Sean Smith on it a year ago to one that tries to roll with Dimitri Patterson, Richard Marshall, Nolan Carroll and perhaps a rookie, has taken a position that was already a weakness and made it a bigger weakness. They've lost Tony McDaniel, who wasn't exactly great, but he did play a key role over the years in their nickel defensive lines. Is Kheeston Randall a proper replacement? We don't know.
And then you have the issue with the linebackers unit. I like Phil Wheeler. I somewhat like Dannell Ellerbe though I'm not sure I'm as comfortable with him as I am Wheeler. I don't necessarily buy this stuff about them being so much better because they're better blitzers. Wheeler is and always has been a good blitzer going back to college. Ellerbe is a small guy, and though he's agile and quick twitch, when linemen get their hands on him he's done. More disturbing, he can be picked up by backfield protectors pretty consistently. His blitz success has been more predicated on scheme and disguise. And it's not all that big a deal to me. The variance in blitz skill at the position isn't huge or impactful, to me. You don't replace Karlos Dansby and Kevin Burnett with Dannell Ellerbe and Phil Wheeler because of blitzing ability. Just not a smart way to go about your business. On the bright side, I think both Wheeler and Ellerbe look good against the run and they should be able to stop that pretty well.
The question to me is, did they get better in pass coverage? Dannell Ellerbe is physical in coverage but also raw and in zone he's a little prone to looking like "oh my god what am I doing way out here in space what the hell is going on where's the ball". I have it on good authority that Dean Pees protected him schematically in pass coverage. I know that he tends to look bad in my eyes when he's got to flip his hips and defend the seam in man coverage. Wheeler I think I like a little better in coverage...but he's replacing a guy in Kevin Burnett who also was good in coverage so what's the net difference here?
Overall you make a linebacker switch like this and you've inserted risk...upside risk and downside risk. You're taking two guys you've never coached before who haven't played in your scheme before and you're hoping they're as good or better than two guys that you've coached, you know what they're going to give you, and what they gave you was pretty good. It's a risk.
Worst of all you maintain the same weaknesses...weakness at defensive end, weakness at corner, weakness at free safety. In this league when you're not getting better, you're getting worse.
Nice summation CK -- and general agreement. Just a few responses:
1. I don't disagree that Hartline, Bess and Gibson may be
better than Hartline, Bess and _________ last year. However, my point is that Hartline, Bess and Gibson will be
slower than what we had last year [last year's number threes were not as slow as Gibson], hence all the issues with the constricted field will remain. So, unless they improve the WR corps with skill and talent beyond Wallace, without him, the offense is going to struggle almost as badly as last year -- perhaps more. Because it will NOT have Bush, even though it will have Keller. So it's even worse than you stated, imo: You say that they have currently improved the offense at the expense of the defense. No question. But if Wallace goes down, and there is no addition of real skill at WR, then the offense is potentially worse also.
2. The LBs. Agreement here that there is a risk -- upside is greater but downside is also greater. However, imo that is a risk that Miami has NOT been willing to take in the past, and paid the price in continual mediocrity... so I'm giving some credit here, knowing that the rent for Dansby and Burnett [to lesser degree] was coming due next year. I would have been glad to go into this year with Dansby and Burnett, IF they added key parts to the DL, specifically DE, and also added key CBs who can well play the zone D and run well. Imo, Dansby got better closer to the goal line. He played some of his best ball in the redzone. Where I had questions with him was outside the redzone, in space, and in blitzing. He often seemed to be one step behind a big play, but close enough to the action to make a difference. Ellerbe and Wheeler, on the other hand, both seem more quick twitch and side to side than Dansby/Burnett. I grant your reservations on both players -- not only being coached by new coaches, but also in the synergy of playing together as a unit. The first half of the season may be their worst half because of this. But if by playoff time they are there, it's going to be a long-term good, imo. Honestly, this move makes more sense if next year is the Super Bowl year, and this year is a playoff year.
It's funny. If it had been up to me to improve the D this year, I would have left the LB corps mostly the same, only added some LB talent from the draft, while bolstering CB with FA and draft, high level pass-rushing DE in FA and/or draft, plus adding a S. The front office sees it differently, obviously. For some reason -- and next year's salary cap cannot be the only reason -- they decided to gamble on greatness at the one position on D that apparently needed the least help this year. I admit that it's CURIOUS. Because they've NEVER treated WR position this way, across the board. They do the exact opposite: take mostly plodding, low risk, low ceiling WRs and seem to be overly happy about it. Same could be said for other positions: lower ceiling and lower floor players are just fine... but if they treat DE this way and CB this way [not good to great players there, but kinda-good to meh players] we are gonna be worse on D. With the potential for much worse.
I agree that the highest needs on this team are what you state but I would definitely add WR. Apart from Wallace, it's "not bad." And we know that in this league, at skill positions, not bad is pretty had, in crunch time against high level teams.
Good stuff and thanks!
LD