I forgot Seifert coached the Panthers. Hugh Jackson was an epic fail of a HC. Sam Bradford was the no 1 pick? Heaven help us if we get a guy like that.
First off season is not over yet, so Miami might grow enough to win some games here and there.
If Miami does end up with the worst record in football (or close to it), with an all out attack in FA and the Draft, do what Jimmy Johnson did after The Cowboys sucked bigtime, make sure the coaching staff coach their butt off with the new Dolphins in, and make sure nobody enjoys seeing Miami on their schedule in 2020 or 2021.
First off season is not over yet, so Miami might grow enough to win some games here and there.
If Miami does end up with the worst record in football (or close to it), with an all out attack in FA and the Draft, do what Jimmy Johnson did after The Cowboys sucked bigtime, make sure the coaching staff coach their butt off with the new Dolphins in, and make sure nobody enjoys seeing Miami on their schedule in 2020 or 2021.
Caveat: Obviously in Week 2 we don't know the final record, but I think its safe to say that this will be a historically bad season with no more than 3 wins.
With that out of the way, I am wondering how Coach Flores will be able to regain the respect and trust of this team moving forward after a really bad year. His players will have busted their *** for an entire season with little to show for it, so how will they react? Maybe it doesn't matter since a lot of these players, perhaps even the majority, will be gone. But how will the players who stay react to him? How will potential free agents view him?
It's a bit unfair for Flores since the GM intentionally set out to lose as much as possible this season, but he signed up for this. And he is doing more than his share to bring it to fruition.
So I wanted to take a look at how coaches who ended up with the #1 overall pick fared with the team after their massive failure of a season. I looked at every season since 2000. You can see the results below.
It doesn't look good for Flores.
The vast majority of HCs (13) who sucked enough to get the #1 overall pick were fired after that season. Only 3 lasted another season before being fired. 2 lasted 2 more season, while Marty Schottenheimer was the outlier spending another 3 (successful) seasons with the Chargers.
Of the 1st year HCs, only 2 spent more than 1 more season with the team: Steve Spagnuolo with Rams for 2 more seasons and Hue Jackson for 2 more (epically futile) seasons. 3 of the 1st year HCs were fired after their first year of failure. Lovie Smith was the only other 1st year coach who landed #1 pick and he lasted one more season.
Also of note, the vast majority of these coaches never got another HC gig in the NFL. Only John Fox, Jim Caldwell, and Gary Kubiak went on to get another HC gig with varying success. One thing to note about these guys is that all of them had substantial success with these teams prior to their disastrous #1 pick landing season.
So history does not bode well for Flores if this season ends how we all think it will. Fact is, its very difficult for these HCs who haven't already built some trust with players with previous success with the team or elsewhere to rebound from this sort of historic failure. For the majority of them, this kind of season effectively ends their careers as HC.
Year Team Coach Record Points For Points Against Draft Pick Year Coaching Team Total Record With Team Additional Years with Team Record with Team After #1 Pick 2000 Chargers Mike Riley 1-15 269 440 TRADED (LaDanian Tomlinson RB 5th Overall) 2nd 14-34 1 5-11 2001 Panthers George Seifert 1-15 253 410 Julius Peppers DE (Expansion Texans had #1 Overall) 3rd 16-32 0 N/A 2002 Bengals Dick LeBeau 2-14 279 456 Carson Palmer (QB) 3rd 12-33 0 N/A 2003 Chargers Marty Schottenheimer 4-12 313 441 TRADED (Philip Rivers QB 4th Overall) 2nd 47-33 3 35-13 2004 49ers Dennis Erickson 2-14 259 452 Alex Smith (QB) 2nd 9-23 0 N/A 2005 Texans Dom Capers 2-14 260 431 Mario Williams (DE) 4th 18-46 0 N/A 2006 Raiders Art Shell 2-14 168 332 JaMarcus Russell (QB) 1st 2-14 0 N/A 2007 Dolphins Cam Cameron 1-15 267 437 Jake Long (OT) 1st 1-15 0 N/A 2008 Lions Rod Marinelli 0-16 268 517 Matthew Stafford (QB) 3rd 10-38 0 N/A 2009 Rams Steve Spagnuolo 1-15 175 436 Sam Bradford (QB) 1st 10-38 2 9-23 2010 Panthers John Fox 2-14 196 408 Cam Newton (QB) 9th 73-71 0 N/A 2011 Colts Jim Caldwell 2-14 243 430 Andrew Luck (QB) 3rd 36-28 0 N/A 2012 Chiefs Romeo Crennel 2-14 211 425 Eric Fisher (OT) 2nd 4-15 0 N/A 2013 Texans Gary Kubiak 2-14 276 428 Jadeaveon Clowney (DE) 8th 61-64 0 N/A 2014 Buccaneers Lovie Smith 2-14 277 410 Jameis Winston (QB) 1st 8-24 1 6-10 2015 Tennessee Ken Whisenhunt 3-13 299 423 TRADED (Jack Conklin OT 8th Overall) 2nd 3-20 0 N/A 2016 Browns Hue Jackson 1-15 264 452 Myles Garrett (DE) 1st 3-36 2 2-21-1 2017 Browns Hue Jackson 0-16 234 410 Baker Mayfield (QB) 2nd 3-36 1 2-5-1 2018 Cardinals Steve Wilks 3-13 225 425 Kyler Murray (QB) 1st 3-13 0 N/A
The difference is that Jimmy Johnson was an excellent head coach when he was with the Cowboys. He also had a great coaching staff and since he was fresh out of college coaching, he knew what players to draft to rebuild quickly.
There is nothing I have seen yet to show that Flores is even a good headcoach, much less an excellent head coach. His coaching staff appears to be ordinary at best and perhaps below average.
During the Johnson era in Dallas free agency was not an issue and players either bought into the coaching staff or they were traded or cut. The money players were earning wasn’t close to the money they earn today. There were no guaranteed money or salary cap during his time in Dallas.
Coaches were not limited in regards to practice time. Players either went along with the program or they were out of the league. Today if a player doesn’t like his team or the situation he finds himself in on the team and he is a better player, he demands a trade, sits out games or leaves in free agency. None of these issues were something Johnson had to deal with when he was the Cowboys HC.
Back in the old days, it was do as I say or don’t let the door hit you butt on the way out. Now if players aren’t happy, they have options they didn’t have when Johnson was coaching in Dallas.
JJ didn’t go winless.
It's ALWAYS best to make final judgements early, even before you have substantial evidence to base it on.I mean if he gets fired after the season, so be it. Its not a huge loss. With all this draft capital and cap space, it would be an attractive job. Much more attractive than last offseason when we hired our coach last.