Hey Folks just wondering, If Rosen Continues to impress Miami could trade down and have multiple high picks to build around him in 2020. if he regresses next season Miami still has two 1st round picks and two 2nd rounders in 2021 so we could easily take the best QB again. there is no need at all to take a qb with a high pick in 2020. If Rosen develops as our Franchise QB the draft will be like winning the lottery, endless possibilities!
A franchise QB is a rare commodity. An ELITE franchise QB is even rarer.
While it's possible to get lucky and find one outside the top 5 or top 10 or even in later rounds, history will tell you that it's easier to find one with a top pick. So when you have a top pick and a viable looking prospect is sitting there, you take him. It's that simple.
Right now the Dolphins don't know whether Josh Rosen will or won't be a franchise QB. They're not going to know by seasons end either. While there's no guarantee they'll find one in the 2020 or 2021 draft either, they still should try while they have the draft position. I mean, how often have the Dolphins had the opportunity of selecting the top QB prospect in a given draft???
IMO the appropriate thing to do is draft the top QB and if Rosen turns out to be as good as you believe, the Dolphins will be winners. Cause they'll have a franchise QB. If the prospect they draft in 2020 also proves to be equally as good, then they can always trade one of them. While you may lose value, it doesn't hurt so badly when you've found your most important piece.
I always think of an NBA analogy when someone brings up this topic. In 1984 the Portland Trailblazers held the 3rd selection in the draft. Instead of drafting Michael Jordan -- who was clearly the best player -- they drafted Sam Bowie (who was a talented Center) because they already had a star guard in Clyde Drexler.
Imagine if they had selected Jordan instead. Drexler and Jordan likely would have been Portland's version of Jordan and Pippen in Chicago. It certainly would have changed the fortune of Portland's franchise. Even if that duo didn't quite workout together, they could have received a nice haul for either player.
But passing on a top talent simply because they had another playing the same position kept that franchise from becoming what Chicago's did become.
I get that it's a bit of an apples to oranges comparison in that the NBA game is different than the NFL game, but the general idea of always taking the best or most impactful prospect still applies.