GOOD article.
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So would it be smarter for the Dolphins to give up assets to trade up for Tagovailoa or stay at No. 5 and take Herbert?
“If I’m comfortable with Tua’s health — and I have to study that with intensity unlike anything before — I would move up and take Tua” because of superior “accuracy, a quick release and anticipation,” Huard said. “He’s got a charisma and a flair and artistry in today’s game that you need.”
▪ During the past two seasons, no NFL quarterback has performed worse in the face of a pass rush than Josh Rosen, according to
Pro Football Focus. And that’s also a problem with Herbert, according to the website. And that should very much worry the Dolphins.
Per PFF, among 129 qualifying FBS quarterbacks last season, Herbert ranked 124th in negatively graded play rate under pressure.
“You can see his panic in a collapsing pocket, an area where a first-round quarterback really shouldn’t be losing his poise,”
PFF’s Anthony Treash says. “He’ll try and create outside of the structure but will toss up some desperation heaves.”
On the flip side, from a clean pocket, Herbert has the highest accurate pass rate in the 2020 draft class among throws of at least 20 yards.
Herbert fans see Herbert at his best and believe that can be harnessed and the poor throws eliminated. But that’s a risky proposition as a projection.
▪ Against the six highest-rated defenses he faced last season, PFF said he made just seven big-time (impressive) throws and 10 turnover-worthy plays.
▪ More troubling metrics on his uneven accuracy: Last season, he ranked 64th in FBS in accurate-pass rate on throws that were made in 2.5 seconds or less and traveled less than 10 yards. That’s not good enough for what should be some of the simplest throws.
On passes that traveled 19 yards or fewer with a clean pocket, Herbert threw the fourth-most incompletions “that were faulted to him — whether it was an overthrow, underthrow, ball in front or behind, etc,” Treash notes.
That’s second-worst among the top seven QBs in this class and symptomatic of his inconsistency.
▪ In all, PFF said 15.3 percent of Herbert’s pass attempts resulted in an incompletion that was his fault — below Tagovailoa’s 12.0 and Burrow’s 6.3. Among top QB prospects in this draft, only Jordan Love (17.3) was worse.
“Perhaps even more alarming is that Herbert had the most incompletions faulted to him when throwing to a receiver with open separation and on his first read,” PFF said. “He’s been known to lock in on his first read far too quickly and far too long.”
