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- Aug 22, 2005
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Here's my case for AJ:
1. He arrived last year to learn a new offense and compete against an incumbent who had played in it for a few years and was the head coach's favorite. As a result, he shared snaps with the first team in practice for most of camp, rather than have time ot get comfortable in the offense.
2. It was a very difficult offense for a QB to succeed in: (a) poor pass protection; (2) no running game; (3) ultra-conservative offensive scheme; and (4) a team whose psyche was clearly damaged by the Ricky Williams retirement.
3. He's still relatively young and only has the equivalent of 1 year of starting experience under his belt.
4. He's got a pretty decent arm and, when given time, decent accuracy.
5. He's improved as this pre-season has gone on even though he is again competing against a veteran who knows the system and has the favor of the coaches.
6. His numbers last year, while not good, are no worse than many first year starters who have gone on to great NFL careers: Aikman, Elway, PManning, Bradshaw, Staubach, etc. In fact, his numbers last year compare relatively favorably to the 1st year production of the QBs who were top 3 picks in the draft over the last 15 years.
7. At age 28, he is not at all too old to develop into a good QB. Defining a "good" (but not great), season as a completion % of 57% and 3 more TDs than interceptions, many of the greatest QBs in NFL history had their first "good" season at near or after age 28: Warren Moon (33), Dan Fouts (27), Bradshaw (27), Staubach (29), Elway (33), Griese (32), Young (30), Starr (28), Aikman (26), Dawson (27), etc. Other good, but less great QBs, followed the same pattern: Simms (33), Theisman (30), Jaworski (29), Cunningham (27). The same is true of many of the better QBs in the NFL today: (Warner (28), Hasselbeck (27), TGreen (30).
8. Frerotte is a journeyman who has never been very good. While he too could have a late-career resurgence, he's already 34 and cannot be considered the QB of the future. Having him keep the seat warm for a year to pick a QB in the draft next year all but assures the Fins of sub-par QB play for another 4 years, as it will take time for a rookie QB to develop.
1. He arrived last year to learn a new offense and compete against an incumbent who had played in it for a few years and was the head coach's favorite. As a result, he shared snaps with the first team in practice for most of camp, rather than have time ot get comfortable in the offense.
2. It was a very difficult offense for a QB to succeed in: (a) poor pass protection; (2) no running game; (3) ultra-conservative offensive scheme; and (4) a team whose psyche was clearly damaged by the Ricky Williams retirement.
3. He's still relatively young and only has the equivalent of 1 year of starting experience under his belt.
4. He's got a pretty decent arm and, when given time, decent accuracy.
5. He's improved as this pre-season has gone on even though he is again competing against a veteran who knows the system and has the favor of the coaches.
6. His numbers last year, while not good, are no worse than many first year starters who have gone on to great NFL careers: Aikman, Elway, PManning, Bradshaw, Staubach, etc. In fact, his numbers last year compare relatively favorably to the 1st year production of the QBs who were top 3 picks in the draft over the last 15 years.
7. At age 28, he is not at all too old to develop into a good QB. Defining a "good" (but not great), season as a completion % of 57% and 3 more TDs than interceptions, many of the greatest QBs in NFL history had their first "good" season at near or after age 28: Warren Moon (33), Dan Fouts (27), Bradshaw (27), Staubach (29), Elway (33), Griese (32), Young (30), Starr (28), Aikman (26), Dawson (27), etc. Other good, but less great QBs, followed the same pattern: Simms (33), Theisman (30), Jaworski (29), Cunningham (27). The same is true of many of the better QBs in the NFL today: (Warner (28), Hasselbeck (27), TGreen (30).
8. Frerotte is a journeyman who has never been very good. While he too could have a late-career resurgence, he's already 34 and cannot be considered the QB of the future. Having him keep the seat warm for a year to pick a QB in the draft next year all but assures the Fins of sub-par QB play for another 4 years, as it will take time for a rookie QB to develop.