Personally my knock on Justin Herbert is that he finds a wide array of ways to fail on any given play. And that's one of the reasons you see him get compared to Ryan Tannehill.
It can be ball placement. It can be missing a read. It can be late timing. It can be a straight up misfire. It can be failure to anticipate a blitz. It can be bad pressure sense. It can be bad instincts for how to move in order to escape pressure. It can be a fumble. It can be bad footwork leading to a batted pass. It can be bad situational awareness.
Imagine all these things on a big Wheel of Misfortune, and for a majority of his plays you're going to spin the wheel and it's going to land on something above. The play may very well succeed, despite the negative trait he showed. But he still showed it.
That's something that keeps happening with Josh Rosen, as well.
But I would love to hear Slimm's input on this because I know he's been liking what Herbert has been putting out lately. He and I disagree about the Washington game, but I agree that Herbert has been a rock star in the USC and Arizona games.
I think that's a great summary, There's always been something wrong with Justin Herbert. That's how you get 3-star status in high school. That's how you get the inexplicable drop in completion percentage from 2017 to 2018.
Oregon is excellent right now not only in offensive line but also pass defense...5th in the nation in YPA allowed. The Pac 12 has never been as weak defensively as the Big 12 or as fans nationwide prefer to believe, but no question defensive 5.6 is rare by Pac 12 standards and really opens things up for the offense and quarterback to relax and thrive. Normally Washington is the only Pac 12 team in that 5.6 range.
I prefer quarterbacks who can vary every pass to the exact mph the situation requires. Herbert isn't like that. He has a few gears but throws everything in the midsection of those gears. That's why so many games feature one line drive after another. Then late in the game he gets stuck if the opponent takes away what was working earlier. Herbert can't switch to the deft finesse throw.
Burrow and also Tua are the guys in this crop who can remedy to the precise mph. Burrow's top speed may not be impressive but the gap throws and short midrange stuff are perfectly judged. My concern with him is what happens when he tries to throw the 15-25 yard floaters in the NFl.? He gets away with it in this LSU offense. Those 15-25 yard floaters were the only issue I had with Andrew Luck in college. He never really shook the tendency to force those throws in the NFL and without upping the zip there were numerous picks when he could least afford it.
There are also legitimate questions with Burrow on 3rd and 10-type drive saving throws into tight NFL windows. I'd have a much better feel for Burrow if I knew what his arm strength would look like in 3 years.
Fromm is a nice player but he's not raising his game nearly to the degree a top quarterback prospect normally does. Regardless of offense there should be some games in which everything clicks and you vastly exceed expectation. There is nothing like that from Fromm this year. It is a category one of my most trusted Las Vegas friends always looks at toward the NFL. This season in SEC games and against Notre Dame, Georgia has gone under its projected one-team point total every time except the Tennessee game.
I agree with Horry. We need Tua. Alabama has gone over the projected one-team total in every SEC game except -- ironically -- Tennessee. Alabama was well beyond its projected first half total against Mississippi State last week before Tua got hurt.