When we hired Gase someone here posted that he looked at Chicago film and they never threw short of the sticks on third down. He guaranteed we would never do it here, that it was a thing of the past and one of the best aspects of the Gase hire.
I scoffed at the never aspect, since it happens league wide to some degree.
However, there is no question we bail out to those plays far too often. The maddening aspect is so many of them are the play design itself -- the intended receiver -- and not a mere dump off after the play broke down.
As I've posted countless times, I worked in a sports stats office for a few years and third down screen passes were identified as the height of stupidity. The entire office would burst out into laughter when those plays were called in a high profile game. There was one bowl game between Florida State and Penn State -- I believe -- in which third down screens were a combined 2 for 23, or something like that. It was surreal. Both teams were calling them all night and never bothering to notice that they weren't working. It went into multiple overtimes, partially accounting for so many possessions.
The percentage of success is actually higher in college than pro, though both are dreadful.
I'm convinced Adam Gase and the pro coaches never bother to check the numbers, the bottom line. They don't differentiate between second down, when screens are a competent choice, to third downs when they are disaster. It sounds cute and it looks good in practice, so they run it.
Then naturally every time it fails you hear the woes and moans of how close it was...if not for that one missed block we were in the end zone. Nat Moore fell prey to that last night.
Screen passes are ultimate sucker material. We need to cut it out. Don't design routes short of the marker. Treat it like a 3 point line in basketball. Make sure your guys are beyond the line, not shy of it.