2. It depends what you see in Jake Long. ... There is a drop off to Baker, but it's not a great one. You have the top line prospects; Otah, Clady, Long, Williams. You have a notch down to guys like Collins, Baker, etc. Duane Brown, Carl Nicks.....all these guys are very solid prospects. Where you teams envisage Branden Albert?
3. There's some talent at MLB in the draft. Reggie Torbor is pencilled in there as well and Torbor can play. He is a very effective blitzer - remember he was a rush end at Auburn - and that inside rush will be critical. We have been keeping close tabs on a number of MLB prospects, so I expect a guy to come in and push for extended PT.
I have a difference of opinion to Boomer on the Jake Long/Baker debate, but maybe not a complete disagreement, as I do agree with what he said "It depends what you see in Jake Long."
I want to be very clear about this though, I'm a big Baker fan and I do think he's a legitimate LT and a solid round 1 prospect that's being underrated by the internet draftniks. But, Long is a different beast.
The skinny on it is that Baker is a solid finesse type LT--like most LT's--that is a very good pass blocker but a good not great run blocker. I think he's going to be an exceptional player. Some are saying Baker needs to play in a zone-blocking scheme, but I disagree, he'll be fine in any system and do well because he's technically exceptional with enough natural talent to win the battles consistently. But, Baker isn't being downgraded because he's a zone-blocker only guy, or because he's not athletic enough to play LT, or not powerful enough to play RT. Baker is sliding because he has an injury history that scares the personnel guys. The talent is there and he's going to be good. I think he's going to prove to be a better pro in the long run than many of the prospects that have people drooling, but aren't nearly as polished (some, not all).
Jake Long is dominant as a run blocker, there's simply nobody in this draft that's in his league. He has superior ability and consistently uses it to its full potential, and that makes him truly scary. I haven't seen a run blocker like him since the old Dallas dynasty under Jimmy Johnson ... even the run-stuffers will be moved. In this case the immovable object will be moved by the irrisistable force (Long). Playing LT and having a quick pulling RG like Smiley sets the Dolphins up to be a devestating running team. Even the top run defenses tend to have speed-rushers playing RDE (4-3) or ROLB (3-4) that can be run on if you can get a strong LT. The problem is that the vast majority of LT's in this league are set up to handle speed rushers in the pass rush, and only a handfull of them are really strong at run blocking.
Take a look at this historic LT draft, Clady isn't a run blocker, Otah is decent but not great, Williams can become that type but he's raw, Nicks can do it but he's raw and has pass pro issues, character issues, etc., Baker isn't a great run blocker ... you can keep going down the list, but the "elite" LT prospects tend to be very strong in pass pro and weak to mediocre in run blocking. Jake Long is truly dominant at run blocking, moreso than the HoF type LT's Ogden, Pace, etc. in their primes.
When you compmare
only their pass pro skills, you can get the impression that Baker isn't much of a drop off from Long, but when you factor in the fact that the Dolphins will be rebuilt as a smashmouth running team, you simply must put a premium on run blocking to be successful. You cannot sacrafice your strength, and ours will be running the ball.
Now, when you factor in that Long's wingspan is so huge that it allows him to exceed the limits of his footspeed and footwork, you can understand why so many fast pass rushers in the Big 10 failed to beat him. Joe Thomas was beaten by speed too, but he was good enough at it to make a pro-bowl as a pass pro LT in his rookie season. The guy that beat Thomas never beat Long at LT. With more coaching and practicing against elite speed like Q.Mozes and whomever else Parcells & Co. molds for our OLB's, I think Long will continue to improve at pass pro.
Then there's the consistency factor. Long virtually never got injured or penalized, he's simply a plug-and-play player who earns every paycheck.
Ultimately unless we can trade down somebody is going to get overpaid at #1, I think Long gives us the most value in the Parcells/Sparano/Ireland philosophy of grinding down the other team's defense, protecting yours, eating clock, then converting on the ground with powerful linemen and in the air with tall receiving targets. That protects your defense to shut down the other team and win it in the 4th quarter. The Dolphins might have had 6 wins this season if they could have finished off games. I think Jake Long goes farther towards doing that than any other player in the draft from a Dolphins perspective.
BTW, I agree with Boomer as far as the ILB talent, and I'd be ecstatic if we could land Dan Connor at #32. Of course, if we do that, we're not going to get a LT unless it's in the first round. I don't forsee any of the legit solid LT prospects lasting to #57 or the second day. I'd love to see us draft Chris Long as I'm a longtime UVa fan and a fan of his, but I just think Jake Long is the pick that makes the most sense for us, and if we trade down at all, I'm confident he'll be atop of our draft board. Nobody is going to trade up to #1 to get Jake Long, but 3 years from now, many teams may wish they had.