Ck- your sitting at 13-
Murray gets past 4.. are you trading a 2020 Rd1 to move up 5-8 spots?
Or are you sitting tight worst case BPA and possibly move up to toon RD2 for your boy Shtick?
The thing that many fans don't realize is that by draft day the teams pretty much know how the draft is going to play out in terms of how high players are going, who is after who, etc.
What I'm trying to say is, I'm unprepared to answer that question by virtue of several unknowns.
First, I have no idea what the Dolphins are going to do for head coach, offensive coordinator, and then free agency. It's impossible for me to assess Kyler Murray's fit, as well as how HIGH of a pick that 2020 first rounder is likely to be, until I see those things.
Second, I don't have the intel to know how high I need to go in order to get Kyler Murray. Will he make it to 13 overall? How high would I need to go?
Third, going rate for a move from #13 overall to somewhere in the 5 to 8 range isn't going to be the 1st rounder in 2020. Because the NFL doesn't allow you to protect the 1st round picks like the NBA does, I think typically you're going to be looking at a 2nd rounder in 2019, and another 2nd rounder in 2020, as the price tag to move up that distance. Especially in THIS draft where people aren't all that excited about the QB prospects.
Last year the Buffalo Bills traded two 2nd round picks (i.e. a 1st round
equivalent) in order to move up from #12 to #7 in order to take Josh Allen. But that was a draft that had "the big four" quarterback prospects in it. It was considered to be a hot draft and teams up top knew that the teams looking to trade up and get one of those guys were going to have to pay a price.
The Arizona Cardinals traded a 3rd round pick in order to move up from #15 to #10 in order to get Josh Rosen.
The thing that would give me pause about going up and getting Murray would be how bad Miami is likely to be in 2019. The owner just communicated to everyone that he believes the strategy every year since he's owned the team, which he described as filling needs in free agency and then drafting solidly, has been terribly unsuccessful and he wants to try something "new".
What that "new" is sounds like a DESTRUCTIVE rebuild. It sounds like they will be jettisoning anyone on roster of a certain age with a certain salary figure, focusing on keeping around the young and talented players, and not dipping into free agency unless it's for a young player, or a cheap player, or both.
Knowing the cap situation as I do, it sounds to me like Steve Ross intends to "flush" all of the accrued expenses accumulated under Mike Tannenbaum's watch, to where our cash payroll FAR undershoots our official "cap figure". And that means, Kyler Murray or not, we may not be fielding a very good team in 2019. And if we're not, then you're going to want to protect that 2020 pick.
